Chaparral, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

898
FXUS64 KEPZ 142318
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
418 PM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 430 PM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

 - Dry conditions rest of this week with high pressure fixed
   along the Pacific coast. Minimal weather hazards.

 - Temperatures around 5 degrees above normal for mid-January,
   with lowland highs in the lower sixties.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1000 AM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

Our quiet weather looks to continue through at least the start of
next week. We are currently caught between two weather systems, a
large upper level trough over the Great Lakes region and a
blocking pattern, dominating by an upper level ridge, along the
west coast. We find our region between those systems which will
continue to give us a dry northwest flow. At the surface today, a
weak "cold" front was pushing from east to west across the area.
About the only effect we will see from the front will be some low
end gusty winds this afternoon. There will be little to no
temperature difference on the backside of the front. Our high
temperatures today through the weekend will range from 4 to 8
degrees above average. Then as we move into next week, we may see
some modestly cooler temperatures. With the dry northwest flow
aloft, we will be hard pressed to see much in the way of clouds
let alone precipitation. For next week, we may see a chance for
precipitation, but for now we look dry through at least next
Monday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 430 PM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

VMC through forecast period under north flow aloft. Skies SKC-
FEW250 through the night and into Thursday. Surface winds
beginning 100-140 at 05-10 knots, becoming light and variable
overnight. Very light surface winds Thursday afternoon with no
local aviation concerns.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1000 AM MST Wed Jan 14 2026

Generally quiet fire weather conditions over the next 5 days. For
today, a weak cold front was pushing across the area and that
will give us some low end gusty east winds, especially on the west
slopes of area mountains. Those winds will drop off and we will
see generally light winds through the coming weekend. Min RH`s
through the weekend will range from 15 to 25% in the lowlands to
20 to 30% in area mountains. With the lighter winds after today,
vent rates will struggle, staying in the poor to fair range.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  36  65  36  65 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            33  62  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
Las Cruces               31  61  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               31  61  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               25  43  26  44 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    33  63  33  62 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              31  59  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   31  63  30  65 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                29  62  28  64 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       38  63  37  64 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                26  65  26  60 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             33  67  32  65 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               36  57  35  57 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   32  65  31  65 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             32  61  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           38  63  38  63 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            28  61  28  63 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    29  64  29  65 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 32  61  33  64 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                31  60  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  28  60  31  52 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                26  54  27  55 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 26  53  28  52 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  24  61  26  59 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                33  64  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                28  61  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             27  60  28  62 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   29  60  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    28  65  26  67 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               29  62  27  64 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  33  60  34  61 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   28  62  33  65 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  28  61  29  64 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           28  63  31  64 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               36  62  38  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...30-Dennhardt